Consumers don't care for negative surprises. That's why so many companies affix carefully worded warning labels on everyday goods, ranging from hot coffee cups to hand mixers. And for safety ...

Countless recession indicators have flashed over the past few years, from an inverted yield curve to the Sahm Rule, and yet the economy continues to grow in defiance of the signals. However ...

The rising unemployment rate narrowly triggered the so-called Sahm Rule recession indicator—just as investors’ concern about flagging growth hit a high point on Thursday. It posits that a ...